ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Thursday October 7, 2004
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...Watching the Gulf of Mexico...

Our attention is turning to the western Gulf of Mexico, where a large area
of disturbed weather continues, and seems to be getting better organized.
There is some chance this system could become a tropical depression during
the next 24 hours as it moves slowly to the north. There is even some chance
a tropical storm could form in this region based on warm sea water
temperatures and relatively light winds aloft. If a storm does form, the
name will be Matthew.

Bands of heavy rain will continue to spread into the coastal sections of
Texas and Louisiana today in advance of the Gulf disturbance.

That system should end Alabama's long dry spell, which is in its 21st day
today for most communities around here. Clouds will begin to return on
Saturday, and we will mention the chance of some rain by mid to late
afternoon. Then, a few periods of rain are a good bet Saturday night into
Sunday. The amount of rain we see across the northern half of the state all
depends on the evolution and track of the Gulf of Mexico system. Parts of
south Alabama could see heavy rain at times.

A few stray showers are possible Monday of next week, followed by drier
weather during the middle of the week.

EARLY COLD SHOT: The longer range models continue to show a quick shot of
unusually cold air for October in here in about 9 to 10 days. More than
likely, there will be a chance of a light frost in the colder valley
locations of north Alabama on at least one morning in the October 16-19 time
frame, and we will be able to be more specific as the event gets closer.

RAIN UPDATE: Birmingham's rain total for 2004 is 43.95", which is 1.53"
above normal. No rain has fallen at all in October so far.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weathertalk: http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb

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TODAY
Partly sunny.
Afternoon High 82
WIND: E 6-12

FRIDAY
Mixed sun and clouds.
Morning Low 58 Afternoon High 77
WIND: E 6-12

SATURDAY
Increasing clouds with rain possible by afternoon.
Morning Low 61 Afternoon High 77
WIND: SE 7-14

SUNDAY
Cloudy and breezy with periods of rain.
Morning Low 63 Afternoon High 74
WIND: SE 10-18

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy with showers still possible.
Morning Low 60 Afternoon High 75
WIND: NE 7-14

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