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Saturday, September 18, 2004

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Saturday September 18, 2004
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GOOD AFTERNOON: The weekend forecast is a rather easy one with high
pressure remaining in control. It has been a little breezy out there today,
with temperatures Tonight will be comfortable, with lows dropping into the
50s in most many locations. Sunday promises to be dry and warm again with
readings in the middle 80s. It now looks like we will hold onto this fine
weather well into the middle of next week. The next rain chance will
probably come on Thursday, and even then, it will be slight. Tropical Storm
Jeanne should not threaten the U.S. in the near term, but will cross the
southeastern Bahamas. Hurricane Karl should remain well out to sea.

IVAN RAINFALL MYSTERY: So far, officials at the National Weather Service in
Birmingham have been quiet about a very significant record that may have
been set during Hurricane Ivan. I would imagine they have been too tired to
think about it. As we watched our rainfall totals mount on Thursday, J.B.
began to question whether the all time 24 hour record rainfall for
Birmingham was being threatened. That record was 8.84 inches on July 6-7,
1916. The Weather Service issued an excellent Public Information Statement
yesterday about Ivan's effects here in Central Alabama that showed 10.10
inches of rainfall at Birmingham during the storm. Their morning
temperature/precipitation table showed a low amount, something like 4.00
inches. But then it was reissued around noon with a total of 9.75 inches
for the 24 hours, but with a note that the preliminary precip amounts were
being investigated. Then the evening Climate Data reports only showed 5.20
inches of rain for the month. But this morning, the report shows 10.96
inches month to date. I imagine that the fact there were about four hours
of incomplete METAR observations from the airport at the height of the storm
led to the lost rainfall amounts. We smell a record...

ONE MORE RECORD? Those incomplete METAR reports may be concealing another
record. The lowest barometric pressure reading at BHM during the storm was
29.14 inches. But, there are those incomplete METAR reports. We are not
sure what the record is, or was. Rest assured, our crack research crack is
on the case. There is no truth to the rumor that it is a conspiracy by old
school weather historians who do not want to see the ancient records broken.


MORE ABOUT THE 1926 HURRICANE: The 1926 Hurricane devastated Miami during
the early morning hours of September 18th. Fifty miles west of Miami the
residents around Lake Okeechobee were worried. The Lake was at a very high
level after a summer of heavy rains. Through the night of the 17th, men
worked to shore up the mud dike around the southern end of the Lake. As the
hurricane passed south of the Lake during the morning hours, easterly winds
of up to 100 mph piled water up against the western end of the Lake around
the town of Moore Haven. Waves crashed over the four foot high mud dike,
weakening the levee. The dike collapsed in several place, sending water
over the first floor of most homes and buildings. 250 people died around
the Lake. The disaster would be a prelude of an even greater disaster to
come two years later.

Bill Murray
billmurray@att.net

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weathertalk: http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb

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TONIGHT
Clear skies, comfortable temperatures.
Morning Low 55
WIND: N 4-8

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 55 Afternoon High 83
WIND: NE 6-12

MONDAY
Continued sunny.
Morning Low 54 Afternoon High 82
WIND: NE 5-10

TUESDAY
More sunshine.
Morning Low 55 Afternoon High 81
WIND: E 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Lots of sunshine.
Morning Low 51 Afternoon High 83
WIND: E 5-10

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