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Saturday, September 25, 2004

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Saturday September 25, 2004
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Providing Solutions to Alabama's Industry
==================================================================
 
GOOD AFTERNOON:  Where, O where are my cumulus clouds?  Oh, where, O where could they be?  As I write this at noon, the skies over North and Central Alabama are mostly bright blue.  Puffy fair weather clouds were beginning to form over the Tennessee Valley and South Alabama.   The morning balloon release from the NWS at the Shelby County Airport indicated that temperatures would have to reach about 83-84 degrees before we would see cumulus clouds forming, so there is still time.  Temperatures are on track for our expected high of 87 today in Birmingham.  Some outflow from Hurricane Jeanne is evident on visible satellite photos  over northern Florida and southern Georgia.  It may overspread parts of Southeast Alabama tonight and we might even see a canopy of cirrus clouds from the storm later as Jeanne turns northwest and then northward to the east of Alabama.  Showers could edge into Southeast and East Alabama late on Sunday through Monday, all thanks to Jeanne.
 
WHAT ABOUT JEANNE? Looking at those satellite loops, you are mesmerized by the spinning disk of clouds whirling slowly towards Florida.  It looks so quiet and peaceful from 22,500 miles up in space.  Down here on Earth, it is anything but beautiful or peaceful.  Hurricane Jeanne has been methodically gaining strength since yesterday afternoon.  By late morning, top winds had jumped to 115 mph, making Jeanne a category three hurricane.  This also made Jeanne the sixth major hurricane of the 2004 Atlantic season.  Jeanne will be the third major hurricane to make landfall in the United States this year (after Charley and Ivan.)  Frances was a category two storm at landfall, so it does not qualify as a major hurricane according to the definition.  According to my database of landfalling U.S. hurricanes, since 1900, there have been four other seasons where three major hurricanes have hit the U.S.: 1909, 1933, and 1954 and 1955.  No season has ever had four since 1900.  According to Frank Lepore at the National Hurricane Center, the four hurricanes that have hit Florida is almost a record.  Five hurricanes struck the state in 1851.  The center of Jeanne will move inland late this evening or early Sunday morning between West Palm Beach and Fort Pierce, very near where Frances came ashore three weeks ago.  Jeanne could become a category four hurricane before reaching the coast.  It will begin turning northwest and then north, moving through inland counties of the Florida Peninsula, pushing into southern Georgia and into South Carolina.
JEANNE AND YOM KIPPUR:  The NHC has been urging Florida residents to advise  their observant Jewish friends about the hurricane since they might not be listening to television or radio on this solemn day.  Yom Kippur ends tonight at sundown. 
 
THE WEEK AHEAD:  As Jeanne passes to our east, our winds will shift from northeast to north, bringing us some slightly cooler air. The tight pressure gradient between Jeanne and high pressure will keep us breezy for the next few days, possibly into Wednesday.  We will stay under the influence of a cool, dry northerly flow through much of the coming week after Jeanne exits to the northeast.   
 
Bill Murray
billmurray@worldnet.att.net

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weathertalk:  http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb

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TONIGHT
Skies becoming fair. 
Morning Low 65
WIND: NE 4-8
 
SUNDAY
Mix of sun and some clouds.  A little breezy.
Morning Low 65 Afternoon High 85
WIND: NE 10-18

MONDAY
Partly sunny to mostly cloudy at times.  Still breezy.  Slight chance of a showers extreme east. 
Morning Low 67 Afternoon High 84
WIND: N 10-18

TUESDAY
Lots of sunshine.  Continued breezy.
Morning Low 64 Afternoon High 84
WIND: N 10-18

WEDNESDAY
Becoming partly cloudy. 
Morning Low 61 Afternoon High 83
WIND: N 6-12

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Tonight on ABC 33/40

 
6:00pm   News
6:30pm   Wheel of Fortune
7:00pm  Cast Away  
10:00pm   ABC 33/40 News/Sports Final
10:35pm   Providence



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