ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Monday September 6, 2004
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DON'T MESS WITH FRANCES: We have heard the old saying, "Don't mess with
Texas." Shall we add Frances also, because she has been a real headache.
Fortunately, the weather was slowly improving over the worst damaged areas
of Central and South Florida, but it was still very windy in extreme North
Florida including places like Tallahassee and Jacksonville. Frances moved
ashore at midday-her second landfall-in the vicinity of St. Marks in NW
Florida and now it is our turn to deal with her.

The National Hurricane Center track forecast has been pretty much on the
money all along. They now project for Frances to move up across extreme
East Alabama near Dothan, Auburn and Heflin during the day tomorrow and then
across extreme NW Georgia and the eastern parts of Tennessee and Kentucky on
Wednesday. All of this time she will be a tropical depression.

Let's get down to the nitty-gritty. What does all of this mean for Central
Alabama? There are strong indications that the heaviest rain will stay over
on the east side of the state closer to the Georgia border. We think
rainfall in the greater Birmingham area will probably be less than one inch
and even more sparse in the Tuscaloosa area. It's going to become quite
windy, but we don't believe the winds will be strong enough for any
significant tree damage unless it's near the Georgia border. Even today,
northerly winds have been gusting as high as 35 mph across Central and East
Alabama. For tonight and tomorrow, the winds will be ranging generally
between 15 and 30 mph.

The showers should diminish on Wednesday probably early in the day. Brisk NW
winds will be bring some good drying and cooler nighttime temperatures. We
think all sunshine Thursday and Friday with lower humidity and cooler
nights.

ANOTHER HURRICANE TO WATCH: And, he's already a strong one. His name is
Ivan. He will be getting into the Eastern Caribbean early tomorrow. The
long-range outlook is for him to pass between Cuba and the Bahamas and by
this weekend be pointed generally toward South Florida. Way, way too early
to be specific yet, but he sure needs to be watched.

MONDAY NOTES: Virtually the whole state of Florida has been completely wet
down by Frances...surely some areas received 12-20 inches...24 degrees in
Stanley, Idaho this morning and some of the higher mountains of Central
Colorado, including Loveland Pass west of Denver, have been whitened by
snow!

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: One of the most enjoyable walks ever with Miss
Molly early this morning. A brisk wind was blowing and when we paused for 10
minutes in the shadow of the Old Crow Motel, it felt almost sweater-ish.
Molly looked so cute with her hair blowing in the wind and she was
constantly sniffing. I believe she could smell a papermill 50 miles away.
Life goes on hurricane or no hurricane.

J. B. Elliott
jbelliott@charter.net

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weathertalk: http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb

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TONIGHT
Windy with occasional showers.
Morning Low 70
WIND: NE 15-30

TUESDAY
Windy with periods of rain and possibly a thunderstorm. Heaviest rain
extreme East Alabama.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 80
WIND: N 15-30

WEDNESDAY
Windy with showers diminishing early. Cooler at night.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 79
WIND: NW 12-25

THURSDAY
Mostly sunny and less humid.
Morning Low 64 Afternoon High 86
WIND: N 7-14

FRIDAY
Mostly sunny. A cool early morning.
Morning Low 61 Afternoon High 87
WIND: NE 5-10

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Or e-mail tj@hsbc.org. Click on www.hunterstreet.org
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Tonight on ABC 33/40

6:00pm ABC 33/40 News
6:30pm Wheel of Fortune
7:00pm George Lopez
7:30pm 8 Simple Rules For Dating My Teenage Daughter
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8:30pm Less Than Perfect
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10:00pm ABC 33/40 News
10:35pm ABC News Nightline
11:05pm Jimmy Kimmel

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