ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Saturday August 28, 2004
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GOOD AFTERNOON!: Folks down around Helena must be starting to wonder what
is happening with all of the recent minor earthquakes. The area felt
another small tremor just after midnight this morning. It was measured at
2.8 on the Richter scale and was centered six miles southwest of Helena.

OUR FORECAST: The airmass over Alabama is warm and unstable this
afternoon, with CAPE values in the 2500-3000 range. Showers and storms have
become quite widespread by early afternoon from Huntsville down to Jasper.
They will be more scattered south of Cullman County, and isolated south of
Birmingham.

Showers and storms will die out after sunset, generally leaving a warm and
muggy night across the state. Temperatures will have a hard time making it
to 70 degrees tonight in most locations, except maybe Pinson and the higher
station in Northeast Alabama. Showers and storms will be more likely on
Sunday as the cold front to our northwest edges a little closer. The front
should push through the area Sunday night or Monday morning, but it probably
will not make it much further southeast. This means that we will be
leaving in shower and storms chances for much of the coming week and
tempering our excitement over the prospects of some overnight lows in the
middle 60s.

TROPIC TOPICS: Tropical Depression Seven is now Tropical Storm Gaston.
Gaston is located about 130 miles southeast of Charleston, SC, drifting west
with top winds of 40 mph. Gaston will reach the South Carolina coast on
Sunday, probably with winds around 50 mph. It will then turn north into the
Mid Atlantic states. Heavy rain will be the greatest threat.

Now...Frances...

Hurricane Frances is located 750 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands
with top winds now 120 mph. The storm is moving northwest, but is expected
to turn to the west northwest soon. It could threaten the islands, but the
official track carries it to 200 miles north of Puerto Rico Tuesday morning.
The official track places it in the southeastern Bahamas by Thursday morning
as a 130 mph hurricane. We will be following it closely, since the GFS
model continues to depict the hurricane moving into the Gulf of Mexico by
late next weekend. It then turns north in the Gulf and impacts the
Mississippi/Alabama coast Labor Day. We will have a long time to watch it.


ON THIS DATE IN 1990: A severe thunderstorm watch was issued for Illinois
As severe weather increased, the watch was never upgraded to a tornado
watch. Spotter networks were not activated. After all, it was the wrong
time of year for a tornado. A tornado warning was never issued because the
storm was located in the ground clutter pattern of the pre-Doppler radar,
the lack of Doppler radar made identification of the storm's tornadic
potential difficult, it was moving in an unusual direction (from NW to SE)
and the tornado was obscured by heavy rain. Television coverage was not
effective. The massive F5 tornado killed 29 people and injured 350 in
northern Illinois' Kendall and Will counties. The town of Plainfield was
especially hard hit.

Bill Murray
billmurray@worldnet.att.net

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weathertalk: http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb

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TONIGHT
Showers and storms die out, leaving partly cloudy skies.
Morning Low 71
WIND: Light

SUNDAY
Partly sunny with a good chance of showers and storms.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 87
WIND: SW 5-10

MONDAY
Partly sunny with a chance of showers and storms, mainly early.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 86
WIND: NW 5-10

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy. A little less humid. Slight chance of a showers or storm.
Morning Low 67 Afternoon High 88
WIND: NE 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Mix of clouds and sun with a chance of showers and storms.
Morning Low 68 Afternoon High 89
WIND: SE 5-10

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