ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Sunday August 1, 2004
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GOOD AFTERNOON! Showers have been extremely rare south of I-20 and east of
I-65 across Alabama this afternoon. A couple of tiny showers appeared near
Muscle Shoals, where they set a rainfall record for July 31st yesterday,
when 2.88 inches fell during morning thunderstorms. All of today's activity
has been over East Central Alabama, mainly from about Montgomery to
Lineville. We will pretty much say goodbye to shower and storm chances for
the next couple of days as a northerly flow aloft and at the surface will
continue to mix in drier air.

You can expect lots of sunshine Monday and Tuesday, and with lots of
insolation, temperatures are going to be soaring. We will experience
readings well into the 90s through at least Thursday. We should see highs
consistently in the middle 90s, with a few upper 90s and even some isolated
readings above the century mark. Our low level flow should become southerly
by Wednesday, allowing for the return of those typical isolated afternoon
and evening thunderstorms. With a northwesterly flow aloft, we can't rule
out the possibility of a dying storm complex dropping from the Midwest, but
chances are slim.

A cold front will drop into the Ohio Valley on Wednesday and down into
Tennessee on Thursday. By Friday, it will be edging into Northeast Alabama.
This front will try to come in through the back door as we head into the
weekend. In any case, it will serve to increase showers and storm chances
as we head toward Friday and into the weekend.

TROPICS: Our tropical depression off of the South Carolina coast became a
little better organized this morning. The Air Force reconnaissance plane
found that the storm had winds of tropical storm force, so it was named
Tropical Storm Alex on the 1 pm advisory. Tropical storm warnings were
already flying from Cape fear to Cape Hatteras on the North Carolina coast.
Now they are joined by a tropical storm watch from Edisto Beach, South
Carolina to Cape Fear. The system is expected to brush the South Carolina
coast and skim along most of the North Carolina coast on Monday. It will
then merge with a large non-tropical low over the Northeast U.S.

Our Gulf system remains unimpressive. There is a tropical wave about
halfway between Africa and the islands of the Caribbean. It will be
monitored over the next few days as it does have the potential to develop.


ON THIS DATE IN 1942: Weather forecasting is critical to many military
operations. In 1943, Allied forces were planning a major bombing raid on
the oil refineries at Ploesti, Romania. Because the nearest air bases were
in North Africa and the distance o the target was at the limit of range for
the B-24 aircraft, weather conditions had to be just right. The bombers
could encounter no heavy headwinds coming or going and southerly winds would
have to be present to spread the fires started by the incendiary bombs.
Meteorologists studied forty years of weather maps to discover that
climatological conditions were right only in March and August. Planners
chose August and conditions were right on August 1st. The raid was a
success.

Bill Murray
billmurray@worldnet.att.net

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weathertalk: http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb

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TONIGHT
Fair skies.
Morning Low 71
WIND: Light N

MONDAY
Mostly sunny and hot.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 94
WIND: N 5-10

TUESDAY
Sunny and hot.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 95
WIND: NE 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy with a slight chance of a PM storm.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 95
WIND: SE 5-10

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy with a slight chance of afternoon and evening showers and
storms.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 93
WIND: SE 5-10

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