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Thursday, July 29, 2004

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Thursday July 29, 2004 ==================================================================
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OUR ATTENTION TURNS SOUTHWARD: We are doing that for two reasons. One is moist Gulf air beginning to surge back northward and the other is growing concern about what may be forming in the tropics. Already a low pressure area is beginning to form over the SE Gulf. This low is expected to move generally toward the WNW, crossing the central Gulf. By midday Sunday, it should be passing some 100 miles or so south of Mobile. The unknown at this time is whether this system will take on tropical characteristics. Conditions are favorable for slow development during the next day or two. The National Hurricane Center plans to send an aircraft into the system tomorrow if necessary.

And that’s not all. A disturbed weather area about 500 miles east of Nassau in the Bahamas is gradually becoming better organized. The winds upstairs are becoming favorable for a tropical depression to come out of this during the next day or so. A recon plane may also go into that area.

The sea surface temperature across the Gulf is very warm and tropical storms absolutely love warm ocean waters. So at least one ingredient is there.
So what does this mean for Alabama? It points to a steady increase in deep Gulf moisture spreading northwest across the state. We expect scattered showers and thunderstorms to occur Friday, mostly in the afternoon, and they may increase in number late in the day. Also a good chance of showers and thunderstorms on Saturday and Sunday. At some point during all of this, we may have some locally heavy rainfall. There will be breaks in the rain.

AT THE BEACH: A good chance of showers and thunderstorms all the way through the weekend. Not an all day rain. There won’t be as much sun as usual. High temperatures will be in the 88-90 range. The water temperature just off Dauphin Island is a very warm 88.

LAST NIGHT’S COOL SPOTS: Space is short, so let’s mention a few places that were 65 degrees or cooler:

59 in Russellville, Meridianville, DeSoto State Park
60 in Valley Head and Muscle Shoals
61 in Scottsboro, Cullman, Huntsville, Fayette
62 in Pinson, Jasper, Decatur
63 in Ashland and Talladega
64 in Trussville
65 in Tuscaloosa

QUICK STOPS: Major flash flooding in the Dallas-Ft. Worth Metroplex. The NWS reports between 8 and 13 inches of rain overnight in SE Tarrant and South Dallas Counties. Numerous water rescues. Many roads flooded...35 in Stanley, Idaho was the USA cool spot...a killer heat wave in progress at this time in 1930. 107 in Birmingham for the city’s highest temperature ever recorded...115 in Holly Springs—the highest of all time for the entire state of Mississippi.

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: With her hair cut so short, Little Miss Molly looks like a pom-pom again. Her body feels like velvet but her head and tail still bushy...as soon as we headed to the vet yesterday, she began shaking from fright...she was so glad to get back home...on a late night walk I got bit twice...hope I don’t come down with South Nile Virus...forgot to stuff a sheet of Bounce in my shirt...more about that later...short on space today but I have one more crazy cow story I want to tell one day next week. Life goes on.

J. B. Elliott
jbelliott@charter.net

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weathertalk: http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb

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TONIGHT
Partly cloudy and not as cool.
Morning Low 72
WIND: SE 4-7

FRIDAY
Partly sunny. Scattered, mostly afternoon, showers and thunderstorms, but increasing late.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 89
WIND: SE 6-12

SATURDAY
Cloudy at times with a good chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 89
WIND: S 7-14

SUNDAY
Scattered showers and thunderstorms with the best chance during the afternoon.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 90
WIND: SE 6-12

MONDAY
Partly sunny. Scattered, mostly afternoon, showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 90
WIND: SW 5-10

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