ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Sunday July 17, 2005
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GOOD AFTERNOON: Hurricane Emily is nowhere near the coast of Alabama and
Northwest Florida this morning, but the National Weather Service in Mobile
has issued a Coastal Flood Watch for the coastlines of Alabama and Northwest
Florida. The Watch has been issued for the large swells that will be
generated by the dangerous hurricane as it moves toward the Yucatan
Peninsula, crosses it, and re-emerges over the southwestern Gulf.

EMILY: It's hard to come up with a menacing moniker for Emily. We have had
Dennis the Menace and Ivan the Terrible. We harken back to storms like
Frederic and Hugo. But it's hard to imagine anything bad coming from a
storm called Emily. But don't let her benign name fool you. Emily is a
menacing hurricane.

Emily probably briefly attained category five hurricane status shortly
before midnight last night. But as the Hurricane Hunter aircraft made a
second pass shortly thereafter, the storm was going through a fluctuation in
intensity and weakened. It still is a formidable strong category four
hurricane as it steams westward toward the Yucatan. It should reach land
during the predawn hours tonight. It will take about twelve hours for the
storm to cross the Yucatan, during which time it will weaken substantially.
But it will regain strength as it moves over the southwestern Gulf. Final
landfall should come early Wednesday morning on the coast of northeastern,
perhaps southern Texas if the hurricane responds to a shortwave trough that
will be passing to the north of Emily. It should have winds of 115 mph when
it arrives on the coast.

OUR WEATHER: High pressure is building into Alabama from the east, and it
will bring more summerlike conditions to the area over the next few days.
Moisture levels will remain high, so there will still be afternoon and
evening showers and storms each day, but they will be more scattered than
what we have experienced recently. This will give you a chance to catch up
on your grass cutting. But it will be seasonably hot.

NATIONAL NOTES: 2.79 inches of rain fell in Baltimore yesterday, which was
a record for the date. It was 127F at Death Valley, CA. This is just 1
degree short of the all time record high there. The daytime high and the
record morning low of 89F at Las Vegas made for an average temperature of
102F. This ties the record for the hottest average temperature ever
recorded there.

ON THIS DATE IN 1944: Just the year before, Col. James Duckworth had become
the first person to fly an airplane into the eye of a hurricane. The
hurricane that he flew into caused tremendous damage to oil production
facilities around the Houston area. This loss of production prompted the
military to order regular aircraft reconnaissance flights into hurricanes in
the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. Famed hurricane forecaster
Grady Norton was put in charge or ordering the flights. Several flights
were made into tropical storms early in 1944. On this date, Col. Allan
Wiggins made the first authorized flight into the eye of a hurricane between
the U.S. East Coast and Bermuda.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weathertalk: http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb

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TONIGHT
Evening showers ending. Partly cloudy overnight.
Morning Low 75
WIND: Light SW

MONDAY
More sunshine, still a chance of afternoon and evening showers and storms.
Morning Low 75 Afternoon High 90
WIND: S 5-10

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy with scattered showers and storm developing during the
afternoon.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 91
WIND: S 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Mix of clouds and sun. Chance of mainly afternoon and evening showers and
storms.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 92
WIND: SW 5-10

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and storms.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 92
WIND: SW 5-10

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