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Friday, June 10, 2005

ABC 33/40 EWARN: Hurricane Local Statement

From ABC 33/40 E-Warn :

WTUS84 KMOB 102201
HLSMOB
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-110400-

TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
500 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

...TROPICAL STORM ARLENE MOVING CLOSER TO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF
COAST...

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER FLORIDA...

...A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...THIS INCLUDES
ALL OF THE ALABAMA COAST AS WELL AS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...INTERIOR SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI AND THE
EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE
AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND ESCAMBIA...SANTA
ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES OF NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN AND
SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEASTERN
MISSISSIPPI. THIS WILL LIKELY BE UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING LATER TONIGHT.

A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF MUCH OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST OR ABOUT 345 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. ARLENE IS MOVING JUST WEST OF
NORTH NEAR 17 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF ARLENE WILL
APPROACH THE THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTLINES ON
SATURDAY...WITH LANDFALL EXPECTED TO OCCUR SOMEWHERE IN THE WARNING
AREA DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE LIVING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST SUBJECT TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FT OR
MORE WILL AFFECT THEM. ESCAMBIA COUNTY FLORIDA HAS RECOMMENDED
EVACUATIONS FOR ANYONE LIVING IN A CATEGORY ONE EVACUATION AREA.
THIS INCLUDES PERDIDO KEY...PENSACOLA BEACH...INERARITY POINT AND
ALL AREAS SOUTH OF GULF BEACH HIGHWAY. THE OTHER ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS HAVE ALSO
RECOMMENDED EVACUATIONS OF ALL LOW LYING AREAS. ANYONE LIVING IN
MOBILE HOMES...MANUFACTURED HOMES...TRAVEL TRAILERS OR FEMA GROUP
SITES SHOULD ALSO EVACUATE. ALSO...EVACUATION OF SOME LOW LYING
COASTAL AREAS SUCH AS BARRIER ISLANDS AND AREAS DIRECTLY ON THE GULF
IS BEING RECOMMENDED BY LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS. LISTEN
TO LOCAL TV OR RADIO FOR DETAILS ON AREAS AFFECTED OR FOR
INFORMATION ON SHELTERS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FT IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG THE ALABAMA
AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTLINES DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. THIS
WILL FLOOD SOME HOMES ON THE IMMEDIATE COAST WHERE THE ELEVATION IS
LOW...ESPECIALLY ON THE BARRIER ISLANDS AND ON SOME INLAND BAYS AND
WATERWAYS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING
THE COASTAL AREAS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AND INCREASE DURING THE DAY
TO NEAR 60 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE
INLAND COUNTIES AROUND NOON AND SPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. IF ARLENE STRENGTHENS JUST A LITTLE BIT...SHE COULD
BECOME A WEAK CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE WITH WINDS NEAR 75 MPH.

...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS...
THE THREAT OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS IS HIGH DUE TO INCREASING HIGH
SURF AND STRONG ONSHORE WINDS. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM
SWIMMING...SURFING...AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL ARLENE MOVES
WELL NORTH OF THE AREA.

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GREATEST AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WILL OCCUR JUST EAST
OF ARLENE'S PATH. AS A RESULT...THE ENTIRE AREA IS UNDER A FLOOD
WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG AREA RIVERS
NEED TO MONITOR ARLENE'S EXACT PATH AS WELL AS WIND INTENSITY AND BE
PREPARED TO SEEK HIGHER GROUND SHOULD RIVER FLOODING DEVELOP.

...TORNADO THREAT...
AS LOW LEVEL WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO ARLENE'S
DEVELOPMENT AND APPROACH. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE
OVERNIGHT OVER THE REGION AND WILL REMAIN AT A SOMEWHAT ELEVATED
LEVEL UNTIL ARLENE MAKES LANDFALL AND MOVES WELL INLAND LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT SCHEDULED TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY
11 PM CDT TONIGHT.

$$

BEELER/CULLEN

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