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Tuesday, June 28, 2005

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Tuesday June 28, 2005
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HOTTER DAYS AHEAD: Looks like the heat will peak in the short term on
Thursday and Friday, as the big heat bubble that has been over the central
U.S. pokes into Alabama. We are expecting highs in the mid 90s on those
days, and if you factor in the high dewpoints; the heat index will be near
100 degrees on both days. The heat index combines temperature and moisture
to let you know how the heat really "feels" to humans. Warmer air aloft
means afternoon storms on those days should be very isolated.

TROPICAL PLUME: In the short term, a tropical wave in the Gulf of Mexico
continues to feed copious amounts of moisture northward into parts of the
southeast U.S. Flash flood watches are in effect for parts of southeast
Alabama, south Georgia, and north Florida, where some communities could see
3 to 6 inches of rain during the next 48 hours or so. Strong storms have
formed early this afternoon over parts of central Alabama; J.B. Elliott
reported some street flooding near U.S. 11 and Deerfoot Parkway in
Trussville, with visibility of only about 200 feet when the heaviest rain
was felling.

It looks like the best chance of showers and storms tomorrow will be east of
I-65, closer to the deep tropical moisture.

SCANNING THE TROPICS: Satellite images show that storms have become more
concentrated over the Bay of Campeche, in the far southwest Gulf of Mexico,
during the past 24 hours. Upper air winds are forecast to become more
favorable for tropical development in the region, but it won't have much
time to get its act together as the system should move into Mexico tonight.
This disturbance could bring significant rain to the southern tip of Texas
tomorrow, which is actually welcome news since the Rio Grande Valley remains
in a severe drought.

HOLIDAY WEEKEND: Many of you will enjoy a three day weekend ahead thanks to
the Fourth of July falling on a Monday this year. A weak surface front is
expected to stall out, and ultimately wash out, near the Alabama/Tennessee
border on Saturday and Sunday. This feature might enhance afternoon storm
formation across the Tennessee Valley, but for now we will pretty much stick
with a routine summer forecast Saturday through Monday. You know the story;
partly sunny days with the risk of a passing afternoon shower or storm in
spots. Very warm, very humid. Daytime temperatures will peak near the 90
degree mark, exactly normal for early July in Alabama.

AT THE BEACH: Rain will be pretty widespread on the coast east of Panama
City tonight and tomorrow, but the weather will settle down later in the
week and over the weekend with increasing amounts of sunshine and fewer
showers and storms for the entire central Gulf coast. Afternoon temperatures
on the immediate coast will peak near 90 degrees, with water temperatures in
the low 80s.

ROAMING: A moderate risk of severe storms for the rest of the afternoon and
tonight across parts of the Dakotas, where a few tornadoes are possible.

James Spann
Jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 BLOG: http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb

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TONIGHT
Scattered showers and storms this evening, ending by midnight.
Overnight Low 71
WIND: Light S

WEDNESDAY
Partly sunny. An afternoon storm in a few spots, mainly over the eastern
half of the state.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 90
WIND: E 4-8

THURSDAY
The heat cranks up a notch. Mostly sunny and hot; only isolated afternoon
showers.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 95
WIND: W 4-8

FRIDAY
Hot with a good deal of hazy sunshine. Only an outside risk of a cooling
afternoon storm.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 95
WIND: SW 4-8

SATURDAY
Mixed sun and clouds. Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 91
WIND: S 5-10

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