ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Monday June 27, 2005
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COLLECTIBLES --- HISTORY --- INFORMATION
ALABAMA GUN COLLECTORS ASSOCIATION SUMMER SHOW
In Our 51st Year
BJCC North Exhibition Hall
July 9, 2005 from 9:00AM--5:00PM July 10, 2005 from 9:00AM--4:00PM

Civil War, World War I, World War II, Spanish American War, Korean War, Viet
Nam, War, High Grade Rifles & Shotguns, Hunting Guns & Ammo. Also expect to
find target guns, accessories, edged weapons, cowboy items. ATF
representatives are scheduled to be on hand to answer Federal Law questions.

THE FINEST SHOW IN THE SOUTHEAST!
Many Fine Displays For An Historical Venture Into The Past

Tickets are $6 at the door. Under 18 must have parent or guardian accompany.
For information: (205) 349-2407 or e-mail at HRB1JLB2@bellsouth.net
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Tis the season for vacations; while I get back in the saddle, J.B. Elliott
is taking the week off, so no Miss Molly stories for a few days. The great
Alabama weather legend will return a week from today, on Independence Day.

SUMMERTIME IN ALABAMA: Weather forecasting during June, July, and August in
Alabama is an entirely different process. Instead of the major mid-latitude
storm systems that sweep through here during the colder months, day to day
weather changes are usually very subtle, and are determined by small scale
features that don't show up on most weather maps. We look for small changes
in temperatures about 15,000 to 20,00 feet off the ground, mesoscale surface
boundaries like the sea breeze front, and migrating easterly waves moving
through the tropical flow that sometimes that edge northward into Alabama.
The bottom line is that telling you exactly when and where showers will form
during the afternoon is very hard to do in a morning forecast on a summer
day. Afternoon showers and storms also feature very uneven rainfall
distribution; one neighborhood might get an inch of rain in a short amount
of time with temporary flooding, while a few miles down the road you won't
have enough rain to wet the pavement.

HAVING SAID ALL OF THAT. We will maintain the chance of a few scattered
showers and storms across Alabama tomorrow and Wednesday as a weak upper air
low meanders just west of here, over Mississippi. As usual, the best
coverage of showers will come during the afternoon and evening hours, from
about 2:00 until 8:00 p.m. But, we can't rule out the chance of a morning
shower with the upper air low nearby.

DEWPOINTS STAY HIGH: Dewpoints will hold in the 68 to 72 range over the next
few days, making for the very muggy weather conditions so typical of summer
here in the deep south. Some people ask why we don't refer to the humidity
more often. Actually, humidity is pretty useless since it is much lower
during the day, when the air is warm, and much higher at night when the air
cools down (the air can't hold as much moisture as it cools). Funny how I
hear people say that the temperature is 95, and the humidity is 90 percent
on a hot and muggy summer day. That never happens; even on a rather humid
day the actual relative humidity value runs only in the 50 to 60 percent
range. Dewpoints don't change with the time of day, and are a much better
way of looking at the "muggy factor". Anytime the dewpoint here is over 70
the heat becomes very oppressive in summertime.

TROPICAL UPDATE: The Atlantic basin is rather quiet and tropical storm
formation is not expected for the next several days.

AT THE BEACH: With the Fourth of July just ahead, the weather looks pretty
routine along the Gulf coast for the next seven days, with a decent amount
of sunshine on a daily basis along with the opportunity of a few scattered
thunderstorms. A check of a buoy just south of Panama City this morning
showed a sea water temperature of 82.6 degrees.

James Spann
Jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 BLOG: http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb

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TONIGHT
Variable clouds. A few scattered showers.
Overnight Low 70
WIND: Light S

TUESDAY
Mixed sun and clouds. Scattered showers and storms, mostly during the
afternoon.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 87
WIND: SE 4-8

WEDNESDAY
Warm and humid. An afternoon shower or storm in a few spots.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 89
WIND: S 4-8

THURSDAY
Partly to mostly sunny. Just a small risk of a brief shower.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 90
WIND: SW 5-10

FRIDAY
Lots of hazy sunshine. Widely scattered afternoon thunderstorms.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 90
WIND: SW 5-10

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